0:00
/
0:00
Transcript

GENERATIONAL WEALTH INEQUALITY

Make America Grow Again | Episode 19 - The Inheritance Lottery: How Dynastic Wealth Rigs the Game Before You’re Born Rxan Smith

The Hardest Fight: Generational Wealth and the Myth of Meritocracy

STOP SCROLLING.

Over the next 20 years, roughly $84 trillion will pass from Baby Boomers to their heirs. It will be the largest transfer of wealth in human history.

Now ask the uncomfortable question:

How much of that $84 trillion will reach you?

For most Americans, the answer is simple: none.

Nearly half of this historic windfall will go to just 1% of families, while roughly half of Americans will inherit nothing. No property. No financial cushion. No head start. Just the same economic barriers their parents struggled to overcome.

We call America a land of opportunity. But opportunity increasingly looks less like achievement and more like inheritance.


This Substack is reader-supported. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.

The Birth Lottery Nobody Talks About

We are taught that success comes from talent, discipline, and hard work. That story feels good. It just isn’t fully true.

The strongest predictor of your economic future in America is not your intelligence, effort, or education.

It’s your parents’ wealth.

Two children can work equally hard, make equally smart decisions, and still arrive at radically different outcomes because one begins life with invisible advantages:

  • Elite schooling and private tutoring

  • Professional networks and insider opportunities

  • Financial safety nets that allow risk-taking

  • Help with home down payments

  • Freedom from medical debt

  • Time to pursue unpaid internships or advanced education

Meanwhile, millions of others start adulthood carrying student loans, unstable housing, healthcare insecurity, and financial stress that compounds over decades.

This isn’t a race where some runners start ahead.

It’s a race where some participants begin miles behind the starting line.


The Numbers Behind the Inequality

  • $84 trillion expected intergenerational wealth transfer

  • Top 1% receives nearly 48% of inherited wealth

  • Bottom 50% inherits essentially nothing

  • Median household wealth:

    • White households: $189,100

    • Black households: $24,100

  • Around 60% of wealth among the top 0.1% is inherited

  • Estate tax applies only above $13.61 million, meaning 99.9% of estates pay nothing

  • Only about 2,000 estates per year trigger the tax

  • Unrealized investment gains pass tax-free to heirs through the stepped-up basis loophole, costing roughly $40 billion annually

Even equally talented children earn dramatically different incomes depending on family wealth.

Merit matters. But inheritance often matters more. Modern dynastic wealth doesn’t rely on luck. It relies on structure.


How Wealth Reproduces Itself: The Data Is Devastating

1. The Stepped-Up Basis Loophole

If an investor sells an asset during life, capital gains taxes apply.
If that same asset is passed through inheritance, its taxable gain resets to zero.

The appreciation simply disappears from the tax system.

This single rule quietly protects billions in untaxed wealth every year.


2. Dynasty Trusts

Ultra-wealthy families place assets into trusts designed to last generations. Because ownership technically never changes hands, taxation can be minimized indefinitely.

Wealth compounds. Taxes shrink. Inequality widens


3. Family Offices

At extreme wealth levels, families operate private financial institutions staffed by lawyers, accountants, and tax strategists dedicated to preserving fortunes across generations.

Entry cost: roughly $100 million in assets.

Outcome: effective tax rates often lower than those paid by middle-class workers.


The Racial Wealth Gap: History That Still Pays Interest

Today’s wealth inequality didn’t appear randomly.

Policies shaped it.

For decades, Black Americans were excluded from the primary wealth-building tools of the 20th century:

  • Slavery and Jim Crow blocked asset accumulation for generations

  • Redlining prevented home ownership and equity growth

  • GI Bill benefits were unevenly distributed after World War II

Housing equity became the foundation of middle-class wealth. Families allowed to buy homes built assets and passed them down. Families excluded were locked out of compounding gains.

The effects didn’t end in the past. They compound into the present.

Median Household Wealth by Race (2024)

  • White households: $189,100

  • Black households: $24,100

  • Hispanic households: $36,200

The gap is WIDENING, not closing

Why the Gap Exists

  1. Slavery and Jim Crow:

    • Black families couldn’t accumulate wealth for 350+ years

    • White families had 350+ years of compounding wealth

  2. Redlining (1930s-1968):

    • FHA explicitly refused to insure mortgages in Black neighborhoods

    • Result: Black families couldn’t buy homes, build equity

    • White families bought homes, built equity, passed to children

    • Home equity is THE primary wealth-building tool for middle class

  3. GI Bill Discrimination (1944-1956):

    • Post-WWII, GI Bill helped millions buy homes, attend college

    • Black veterans systematically denied benefits

    • VA loans refused in Black neighborhoods

    • White veterans built wealth; Black veterans left behind

Example: How Policy Created the Wealth Gap

1950: Two veterans, one white (Jim), one Black (John)

  • Jim uses GI Bill, buys home for $10,000, passes to daughter ($200K by 2000)

  • John denied loan, rents forever, passes nothing

  • Jim’s grandkids: $200K down payment inheritance, buy homes

  • John’s grandkids: Renting, no inheritance, no equity building

This isn’t history—it’s CURRENT wealth gap caused by historical policy

This Threatens Democracy

Extreme inherited wealth doesn’t just create economic inequality. It concentrates power.

Political influence follows money. When fortunes persist across generations, influence does too.

History’s thinkers understood this risk:

  • Thomas Jefferson warned against hereditary economic power.

  • Adam Smith feared rent-seeking elites.

  • Theodore Roosevelt supported estate taxation to prevent fortunes growing beyond democratic balance.

Democracy depends on mobility. Aristocracy depends on inheritance.

A society cannot indefinitely sustain both.


The Mobility Problem

America often celebrates itself as uniquely upwardly mobile.

Data suggests otherwise.

The United States ranks near the bottom among developed nations in economic mobility. Countries like Denmark, Canada, and Australia offer stronger chances of moving up the income ladder.

The American Dream still exists.

It’s just increasingly inherited.


Restoring Opportunity, Not Punishing Success

The debate is often framed as envy versus achievement. That framing misses the point.

The real question is whether opportunity itself should be inherited.

Possible reforms frequently discussed include:

  • Immediate Reforms (Year 1)

    • Close the Stepped-Up Basis Loophole

      • Eliminate tax-free basis reset on inheritance

      • Heirs pay capital gains tax on unrealized gains above $1 million

      • Exemption for family farms/small businesses (real ones, not billionaire loophole)

      • Revenue: $40 billion/year

    • Restore Estate Tax

      • Lower exemption from $13.61M to $3.5M (Obama-era level)

      • Increase top rate from 40% to 55% for estates above $50M

      • Close dynasty trust loopholes

      • Revenue: $80 billion/year

    • Baby Bonds Program

      • Every child born in US receives government-funded trust

      • Amount based on family income (more for poor families)

      • Can access at age 18 for education, home down payment, business start

      • Cost: $60 billion/year (funded by estate tax increases)

Medium-Term Reforms (Years 2-5)

    • Reparations Through Direct Wealth Building

    • Progressive Property Tax Reform

    • Universal Childcare and Pre-K

Long-Term Reforms (Years 5+)

    • Constitutional Amendment on Wealth Concentration

    • Sovereign Wealth Fund (Alaska Model)

    • Education Equity Funding


The Real Choice Ahead

Generational wealth inequality forces a national decision:

Do we want a society where success depends primarily on effort and innovation?

Or one where economic position increasingly resembles a family title passed down through bloodlines?

The largest wealth transfer in history is already underway.

The only question left is whether it expands opportunity or locks it away.

Counterarguments Demolished

Myth #1: “People should be able to pass their wealth to their kids”
Reality: They CAN—up to $13.61 million tax-free. We’re only talking about taxing the ultra-wealthy. Also, their kids didn’t earn it—why should unearned wealth get preferential treatment?

Myth #2: “Estate taxes hurt family farms and small businesses”
Reality: Only 50 farms nationwide paid ANY estate tax in 2023. The “family farm” argument is a lobbying talking point used by billionaires.

Myth #3: “This is class warfare / punishing success”
Reality: The only warfare is billionaires hoarding wealth while workers can’t afford rent. Also, heirs didn’t “succeed”—they won the birth lottery.

SERIES CONNECTIONS

Discussion about this video

User's avatar

Ready for more?